Written by: Brianne Minton

With Technical Expertise From: Dr. Lee Ellenburg & Dr. Rob Junod

 

Fall is a great time to plant in Alabama, but knowing how much time you have before the first frost or freeze can help you decide what to plant and when. Cool-season vegetables, cover crops, lawns, and many other plants can benefit from Alabama’s fall weather, but they still need enough time to get established before temperatures drop. A frost or freeze that arrives earlier than expected can damage young plants, while a later first freeze can give you a longer growing season.

The timing of that first frost and freeze varies across Alabama. Northern Alabama and higher elevations typically see colder temperatures first, while southern Alabama and the Gulf Coast often stay warmer later into the fall. These dates are based on historical averages, so the weather in any given year can be different. Knowing when the first frost and freeze usually occur can give gardeners and growers a useful starting point for planning fall planting.

As the season changes, it is important to monitor short-term forecasts and stay updated with your local  National Weather Service office, which often issues Freeze Warnings and Frost Advisories when conditions warrant. For guidance on protecting plants and preparing for freeze and frost conditions, we encourage you to contact your local  Alabama Extension office for information tailored to your specific area and growing needs. If you have questions about this data, feel free to reach out to the  Alabama Office of the State Climatologist at aosc@uah.edu. Read on for a closer look at when the first frost and freeze typically occur across Alabama and what the historical records tell us about the fall growing season.

Two maps of Alabama showing the average and most likely first fall/winter frost dates from 1991–2020.
Figure 1. Average and most likely first fall/winter frost dates across Alabama based on 30-year climate data (1991–2020).
Two maps of Alabama showing the average and most likely first fall/winter freeze dates from 1991–2020.
Figure 2. Average and most likely first fall/winter freeze dates across Alabama based on 30-year climate data (1991–2020).

 

Average First Frost and Freeze Dates

Figures 3 and 4 show the average first frost and first freeze dates based on the 1991–2020 climate normals from PRISM weather data. These normals represent the average conditions over a 30-year period (what we call a “climate normal”) and help show the typical timing of the first frost and freeze across Alabama.

The average first frost date ranges from late October in parts of northern Alabama to late November across much of southern Alabama. The first freeze generally occurs later, with average dates ranging from early November in northern Alabama to late November or early December in southern Alabama. A few small areas can see their first freeze as early as late October, including parts of north Lamar County, far eastern Jackson County, and eastern DeKalb County.

These average dates provide a useful starting point for fall planting and garden planning, but they are not a guarantee of when frost or freezing temperatures will occur in a given year. First frost and freeze dates can vary considerably from year to year, so it is important to keep an eye on the forecast as fall progresses.

Map of Alabama showing average first fall/winter frost dates across Alabama
Figure 3. Average first fall/winter frost dates across Alabama for the 1991–2020 base period.
Map of Alabama showing average first fall/winter freeze dates across Alabama.
Figure 4. Average first fall/winter freeze dates in Alabama for the 1991–2020 climate period.

Understanding Risk: 25th and 10th Percentiles

Figures 5–8 move beyond the average and help us think about the risk of an early frost or freeze. The average maps represent about a 50/50 chance that the first frost or freeze will occur before or after the date shown. If planning around an average feels too risky, the percentile maps can help you choose a more cautious date.

These maps illustrate the likelihood of an early-season frost or freeze. When compared to the average above, they help show how much the timing can change from year to year. The 25th and 10th percentile maps show dates when an unusually early frost or freeze may occur. The 25th percentile represents a date when a frost or freeze has historically occurred that early or earlier in about 1 out of 4 years (25%), while the 10th percentile represents a date when this has occurred in about 1 out of 10 years (10%). These percentiles help illustrate the range of possible frost and freeze dates, allowing farmers, gardeners, and other decision-makers to better understand the risk of early cold events and plan accordingly.

These maps can be especially useful for producers and home gardeners planning fall harvests or winter crops. Simply find your location on the map, choose the frost or freeze date you want to plan around, and count backward the number of days your crop needs to mature. This can help you decide when to plant so your crop has enough time to grow and be harvested before frost or freezing temperatures arrive.

Map of Alabama showing the 25th percentile first frost dates.
Figure 5. 25th percentile first frost dates across Alabama.
Map of Alabama showing the 25th percentile first freeze dates.
Figure 6. 25th percentile first freeze dates across Alabama.
Map of Alabama showing the 10th percentile first frost dates.
Figure 7. 10th percentile first frost dates across Alabama.
Map of Alabama showing the 10th percentile first freeze dates.
Figure 8. 10th percentile first freeze dates across Alabama.

How Early or Late Can the First Frost or Freeze Occur?

While averages and percentiles help us understand typical conditions and the risk of an early frost or freeze, historical station records show just how early or late the first frost and freeze can occur across Alabama. The earliest first frost occurred on September 16 in Valley Head in 1940, while the latest occurred on January 3, recorded in Bay Minette in 1919 and in Greensboro, Greenville, and Troy in 1932. First freeze dates show a similarly wide range. Valley Head recorded its first freeze as early as September 22 in 1983, while the latest occurred on January 21 at Mobile Downtown Airport in 2019.

It is important to remember that these extremes were recorded at individual weather stations and do not represent statewide conditions in those years. They do, however, highlight how much the timing of the first frost and freeze can vary from one location to another. Northern and higher-elevation areas generally experience their first frost and freeze earlier, while southern Alabama can remain frost- and freeze-free much longer. You can view Figures 9 and 10 and Table 1 for first frost and freeze dates specific to your area. If you have further questions, you can reach out to us at aosc@uah.edu.

Two Alabama maps displaying the earliest and latest recorded first fall/winter frost dates at long-term stations.
Figure 9. Earliest and latest recorded first frost dates recorded across Alabama based on long-term station data.
Two Alabama maps showing the earliest and latest recorded last spring frost dates at long-term weather stations.
Figure 10. Earliest and latest recorded first freeze dates across Alabama based on long-term station data.

How Are These Dates Changing?

To see whether first frost and first freeze dates are shifting over time, we also compared long-term records for five representative cities: Huntsville and Muscle Shoals in North Alabama, Birmingham and Montgomery in Central Alabama, and Mobile in South Alabama. Figures 11 and 12 show the average first frost and first freeze dates for consecutive Climate Normals (30-year periods) from 1893 (1897 for Birmingham, 1908 for Huntsville) until 2020*.

The patterns are not the same everywhere. In North Alabama, both first frost and first freeze dates have generally shifted slightly later over the past century. Huntsville and Muscle Shoals show some of the clearest changes, with first frost and freeze dates occurring 5 -10 days later in the most recent Climate Normals than they did in the earliest periods of record. Montgomery and Mobile show the opposite with frosts and freezes occurring 5 -10 earlier on average.    

Looking at the most recent 30-year Normal (1991–2020), all five cities have experienced some change in their average first frost and freeze dates compared with earlier periods, although the direction and amount of change vary by location. These differences highlight why local climate records are important when planning around the timing of the first frost and freeze in Alabama.

Line graph showing how average first fall/winter frost dates have changed over time in five Alabama cities.
Figure 11. Trends in average first fall/winter frost dates across Alabama over multiple 30-year climate periods.
Line graph showing how average first fall/winter freeze dates have changed over time in five Alabama cities.
Figure 12. Trends in average first fall/winter freeze dates across Alabama over multiple 30-year climate periods.

Even with these shifts, one thing remains clear: year-to-year variability is significant. At every location, first frost and first freeze dates can vary considerably from one year to the next. Figures 13 and 14 show that the range of first frost and freeze dates can span two months or more at some locations. Some falls see frost and freezing temperatures arrive relatively early, while others remain warm enough well into November or even December. A trend toward earlier or later average dates does not eliminate the possibility of an unusually early or late first frost or freeze in any given year.

Horizontal charts showing the range and average first frost dates over the past 30 years in five Alabama cities.
Figure 13. Range and average of first frost dates during the most recent 30-year climate period.
Horizontal charts showing the range and average first freeze dates over the past 30 years in five Alabama cities.
Figure 14. Range and average of first freeze dates during the most recent 30-year climate period.

*This information is from threaded weather stations. A “threaded station” is a continuous long-term climate record created by linking (“threading”) data from multiple station locations within the same city or region when instruments have been relocated over time. This process reconciles overlapping and successive records to produce a single, consistent time series suitable for calculating official daily temperature and precipitation extremes.

Does the ENSO Cycle Play a Role Here?

We often get asked about ENSO signals and their influence on Alabama’s climate. This is especially true since we currently have a strong El Niño. ENSO (El Niño–Southern Oscillation) affects the position and strength of the jet stream over the Southeastern United States, particularly during winter and early spring. El Niño winters generally favor cooler, wetter conditions across the Southeast, while La Niña winters tend to favor warmer, drier conditions. However, these seasonal patterns do not necessarily translate into predictable changes in the timing of Alabama's first fall frost or freeze.

We examined the relationship between ENSO and first fall frost and freeze dates over the past 75 years (1950–2025). Across Alabama, El Niño years generally show slightly later first freeze dates than La Niña years. The differences are typically on the order of several days to about a week. First frost dates show a similar pattern. Huntsville is an exception, with slightly earlier first frosts during El Niño years.

Importantly, there is considerable overlap between ENSO phases at every location, and substantial year-to-year variability remains. While ENSO may slightly shift the odds of a later first frost or freeze, it is not a reliable predictor of when the first cold event will occur at any individual location (Figures 15 and 16).

Boxplots comparing first fall/winter frost dates in Alabama cities during La Niña, Neutral, and El Niño years.
Figure 15. Comparison of first fall/winter frost dates by ENSO phase across selected Alabama weather stations.
Boxplots showing how last spring frost dates vary in five Alabama cities during La Niña, Neutral, and El Niño years.
Figure 16. Comparison of first fall/winter freeze dates by ENSO phase across selected Alabama weather stations.

*The ENSO data is from https://psl.noaa.gov/data/timeseries/month/DS/Nino34_CPC/ and Niño 3.4 is the area averaged anomalies over the Niño 3.4 region (5N-5S)(170-120W) using a climatology of 1981-2010.

    Earliest First Frost Latest First Frost Earliest First Freeze Latest First Freeze  
Station Name Date Year Date Year Date Year Date Year # Years of Recorded Data
USC00010160 ALEXANDER CITY, AL US 10/2 1984 12/1 2021 10/19 2022 12/5 1978 57
USW00013871 ANNISTON METRO AP, AL US 9/22 1903 12/1 1944 10/10 2000 12/1 1944 123
USC00010402 ATMORE, AL US 10/17 1943 1/2 1945 10/27 1957 1/7 1954 86
USC00010505 BANKHEAD L&D, AL US 9/23 1999 12/5 1978 10/15 1988 12/5 1978 69
USC00010583 BAY MINETTE, AL US 10/13 1977 1/3 1919 10/20 1989 1/5 1972 113
USC00010655 BELLE MINA 2 N, AL US 9/29 1967 11/13 1986 10/2 1984 11/26 2004 77
USC00010764 BESSEMER 3 WSW, AL US 10/2 1984 11/21 2024 10/7 1980 12/2 2004 49
USW00013876 BIRMINGHAM AP, AL US 10/2 1984 11/25 2004 10/18 1948 1/10 1932 97
USC00011080 BREWTON 3 ENE, AL US 10/2 1984 11/26 2004 10/8 1991 12/16 1998 49
USC00011620 CHILDERSBURG WTP, AL US 9/23 1999 11/14 2003 10/2 1984 11/16 1972 69
USC00011694 CLANTON, AL US 9/30 1967 11/26 2004 10/11 1906 12/2 1918 133
USC00011725 CLAYTON, AL US 10/10 2000 12/5 1978 10/12 2000 12/10 1978 98
USW00013839 DOTHAN RGNL AP, AL US 10/14 1992 12/18 1998 10/28 2001 1/6 1972 57
USC00012813 FAIRHOPE 2 NE, AL US 10/18 1948 1/2 1932 10/24 1937 1/11 1932 109
USC00012883 FAYETTE, AL US 9/29 1942 11/17 2024 10/3 1974 12/2 2004 134
USC00013154 GADSDEN, AL US 9/30 1967 11/16 2016 10/17 1954 1/2 1979 73
USC00013160 GAINESVILLE LOCK, AL US 10/2 1984 11/25 2004 10/20 2022 12/5 1978 78
USC00013251 GENEVA #2, AL US 10/2 1984 12/6 1986 10/19 2022 12/27 1986 50
USC00013511 GREENSBORO, AL US 10/8 1987 1/3 1932 10/18 1948 1/9 1932 136
USC00013519 GREENVILLE, AL US 10/14 1977 1/3 1932 10/17 1977 1/10 1932 126
USC00013573 GUNTERSVILLE, AL US 10/9 1988 12/1 1975 10/14 1977 12/21 2001 122
USC00013620 HALEYVILLE, AL US 9/27 1975 11/24 2004 10/3 1974 12/2 1946 124
USC00013645 HAMILTON 3 S, AL US 9/22 1983 11/2 2002 9/29 1967 11/21 2024 65
USC00013775 HEFLIN, AL US 9/28 1962 11/7 1981 9/30 1967 12/7 2010 71
USW00003856 HUNTSVILLE INTL AP, AL US 10/2 1946 11/14 1975 10/9 2000 12/5 1978 68
USC00014193 JACKSON, AL US 10/11 2000 12/17 2004 10/19 2022 12/17 2004 65
USC00014502 LAFAYETTE 2W, AL US 10/2 1984 11/14 1986 10/7 1964 11/30 1990 82
USC00015121 MARION JUNCTION 2 NE, AL US 9/30 1967 11/16 1972 10/19 2022 12/5 1978 76
USW00013838 MOBILE DWTN AP, AL US 10/27 1957 12/18 1998 11/7 1959 1/21 2019 79
USW00013894 MOBILE, AL US 10/18 1948 12/12 2004 10/28 1957 1/5 1972 78
USW00013895 MONTGOMERY AP, AL US 10/8 1991 12/6 1978 10/19 2022 12/12 1994 79
USC00015635 MOULTON 2, AL US 9/30 1967 11/13 1986 10/2 1984 11/26 2004 69
USW00013896 MUSCLE SHOALS RGNL AP, AL US 10/2 1984 11/25 2004 10/9 2000 12/5 1978 86
USC00016121 ONEONTA, AL US 9/18 1903 11/15 2015 9/30 1967 11/28 2004 132
USC00016129 OPELIKA, AL US 9/30 1967 11/29 1992 10/10 2000 1/1 2026 69
USC00017025 ROCK MILLS, AL US 9/25 2001 11/11 2016 9/30 1967 11/15 1975 88
USC00017131 RUSSELLVILLE #2, AL US 9/22 1983 11/15 2003 9/29 1967 11/27 2009 73
USC00017157 SAINT BERNARD, AL US 9/21 1918 12/15 2017 10/1 1924 12/20 2001 119
USC00017207 SAND MT SUBSTN, AL US 9/23 1982 11/14 2003 10/2 1984 11/26 2004 78
USC00017304 SCOTTSBORO, AL US 9/22 1913 11/14 1919 10/3 1974 12/1 1918 135
USC00017366 SELMA, AL US 10/10 1915 12/5 1978 10/21 1913 1/5 1924 132
USC00017999 SYLACAUGA 4 NE, AL US 9/25 1990 11/14 2003 9/30 1967 11/24 1972 76
USC00018024 TALLADEGA, AL US 9/28 1899 11/14 1919 10/4 1987 11/23 2024 138
USC00018209 THORSBY EXP STN, AL US 10/2 1984 11/23 2015 10/17 1978 12/9 2017 69
USC00018323 TROY, AL US 10/17 1943 1/3 1932 10/18 1943 1/10 1932 118
USW00093806 TUSCALOOSA MUNI AP, AL US 10/2 1984 12/1 1978 10/10 2000 12/6 1978 78
USC00018469 VALLEY HEAD, AL US 9/16 1940 11/23 1933 9/22 1983 11/23 1933 134
USC00018517 VERNON, AL US 9/23 1982 11/14 2003 10/2 1984 12/2 2004 88
USC00018998 WINFIELD 2 SW, AL US 9/22 1983 11/10 2016 10/2 1984 11/21 2024 103